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Prediction markets
16 active markets
· category “Science”
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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Jacob Tsimerman
98%
Hong Wang
97%
9 more
$718K
Vol.
Jul 30
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
63 trading now
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?
2500+
99%
3000+
99%
4 more
$32K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
37 trading now
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest
78%
3rd hottest
19%
2 more
$101K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$32
42 trading now
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?
600mm+
64%
525-550mm
20%
8 more
$22K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$39
36 trading now
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?
≤8
20%
Yes
No
9
14%
Yes
No
$8.8K
Vol.
Jul 26
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$128
48 trading now
Precipitation in NYC in July?
4-5"
61%
5-6"
19%
4 more
$28K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
48 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
December 31
53%
August 30
51%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$48
37 trading now
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$577K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
48 trading now
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.20–1.24ºC
76%
1.15–1.19ºC
14%
4 more
$37K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$33
47 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?
0
52%
Yes
No
1
33%
Yes
No
$2.5K
Vol.
Jul 26
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$48
31 trading now
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?
<100
73%
100–129
36%
7 more
$1.7K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$34
40 trading now
Precipitation in Seoul in July?
100mm+
99%
90-100mm
1%
6 more
$13K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
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