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Prediction markets
52 active markets
· category “Geopolitics”
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Next leader out of power before 2027?
Orbán - Hungary PM
99%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
1%
23 more
$7.81M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Netanyahu out by...?
42%
chance
Yes
No
$123.6M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$60
76 trading now
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
22%
chance
Yes
No
$1.35M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$116
49 trading now
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
13%
chance
Yes
No
$1.53M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$200
56 trading now
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Dopropillia
57%
Druzkhivka
26%
6 more
$556K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$44
63 trading now
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$1.79M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$100
49 trading now
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$298K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$172
61 trading now
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$128K
Vol.
Jul 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by...?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$59K
Vol.
Sep 30
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$106
52 trading now
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
14%
October 31
7%
2 more
$17.4M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$185
66 trading now
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
16%
chance
Yes
No
$2.83M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$161
66 trading now
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
Rafael Grossi
46%
Macky Sall
35%
29 more
$145K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$55
52 trading now
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